Covid Remobilization, Updated process and charts Jan 2022

Started by Eclipse, February 01, 2022, 03:29:01 AM

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Eclipse


"That Others May Zoom"


Eclipse

Quote from: Jester on March 10, 2022, 07:28:56 PMTIL my wing is in Phase 3.

It appears a number of wings are telling NHQ they have had a phase change, but not
their members, or it is days+ delayed from posting on the CAP map.

"That Others May Zoom"

Eclipse

The CAP map is just about ready for St. Paddy's day...



While the risk maps are moving more slowly in the same direction.




"That Others May Zoom"

Eclipse

The CAP map was apparently updated twice yesterday.






"That Others May Zoom"

Eclipse

I don't think anyone thought the map would be this green for St. Paddy's day...






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Toad1168

Saw on the news that the White House will now be using hospitalization and death numbers instead of positive case counts as a determining factor.  Wondering if that will be the next metric we move to.
Toad

Eclipse

Annnnnnd, "just like that", after nearly two years of various stand downs, pauses,
and phases, CAP is essentially at OPS Normal.



The world as a whole is moving slower, but in the same direction.





And with the (hopefully) retirement of the Great MapĀ®, the incorrect table
goes quietly into the good night, holding on to its incorrect colors to the last.

Say Goodnight, Gracie...

"That Others May Zoom"

SarDragon

Dave Bowles
Maj, CAP
AT1, USN Retired
50 Year Member
Mitchell Award (unnumbered)
C/WO, CAP, Ret

Shuman 14

Joseph J. Clune
Lieutenant Colonel, Military Police

USMCR: 1990 - 1992                           USAR: 1993 - 1998, 2000 - 2003, 2005 - Present     CAP: 2013 - 2014, 2021 - Present
INARNG: 1992 - 1993, 1998 - 2000      Active Army: 2003 - 2005                                       USCGAux: 2004 - Present

AirDX

Now we need to keep an eye on the BA.2 variant. Its course will tell us a lot about where this pandemic is going.

From How dangerous is BA.2, the new COVID-19 variant?:

Will we see a surge?

We might see a small bump in terms of cases, and that's probably among individuals who were neither vaccinated nor exposed to the virus before. That's the last niche in which the virus is able to spread.

Will the continuous spread be the norm going forward?

We expect people to get re-infected continuously, similar to other seasonal coronaviruses. Antibodies decline very quickly and people can get infected.

The true issue here is that we're entering a different phase of the pandemic, where the virus has become not as deadly and we have all the tools we need. We need to now assess whether it's a risk to the general population vs. a risk to an individual person.
Believe in fate, but lean forward where fate can see you.

Eclipse

These maps have started moving in the wrong direction over the last week or so, with
three states back in the red zone.




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CAPCom

Quote from: Eclipse on April 11, 2022, 05:57:18 PMThese maps have started moving in the wrong direction over the last week or so, with
three states back in the red zone.

Use of the word "risk" is pretty vague.  What, specifically, is the risk?  Testing positive for the virus, being hospitalized for the virus, dying from the virus?  I'm guessing it's testing positive.  Which, in case you haven't noticed, isn't a big deal anymore.  Or am I reading the map/definition completely wrong?

Paul Creed III

Quote from: CAPCom on April 16, 2022, 04:35:25 AM
Quote from: Eclipse on April 11, 2022, 05:57:18 PMThese maps have started moving in the wrong direction over the last week or so, with
three states back in the red zone.

Use of the word "risk" is pretty vague.  What, specifically, is the risk?  Testing positive for the virus, being hospitalized for the virus, dying from the virus?  I'm guessing it's testing positive.  Which, in case you haven't noticed, isn't a big deal anymore.  Or am I reading the map/definition completely wrong?

Risk is defined by the site here: https://www.covidactnow.org/covid-risk-levels-metrics.
Lt Col Paul Creed III, CAP
Group 3 Ohio Wing sUAS Program Manager

CAPCom

Quote from: Paul Creed III on April 16, 2022, 11:22:37 AM
Quote from: CAPCom on April 16, 2022, 04:35:25 AM
Quote from: Eclipse on April 11, 2022, 05:57:18 PMThese maps have started moving in the wrong direction over the last week or so, with
three states back in the red zone.

Use of the word "risk" is pretty vague.  What, specifically, is the risk?  Testing positive for the virus, being hospitalized for the virus, dying from the virus?  I'm guessing it's testing positive.  Which, in case you haven't noticed, isn't a big deal anymore.  Or am I reading the map/definition completely wrong?

Risk is defined by the site here: https://www.covidactnow.org/covid-risk-levels-metrics.

My point was in relation to the map and it's use of "risk".  I know what the official definition of COVID risk is.  I don't think the map came from the CDC, did it?  Even so, the link you took us to is not to the CDC or even a university/school of medicine.  It's to a non-profit entity that is (in their own words), "Act Now Coalition is an independent 501(c)(3) nonprofit founded by volunteers in March 2020. Covid Act Now is our COVID-focused initiative to help people make informed decisions by providing timely and accurate data about COVID in the U.S."  Maybe I'm wrong about this particular group, but usually groups like that are promoting their own agenda for their own purposes.  They aren't regulated nor are they required to give the unadulterated truth and there's no outside accountability and oversight.  So doesn't this mean THEY are defining "risk" based on their own agenda and bias?  I think it might.

Eclipse

Let's not go political on this again.

NHQ adopted this map as the basis of phase decisions, which is the only relevent part of any conversation on this.
FWIW, CAP is an official partner along with about 20 other organizations, including the National Guard.

As someone who has watched these daily for two years, they have mirrored other sites and
general news sources on the state of the information provided, with the only issue being
lagging a bit behind real-time due to the foibles of state reporting.

Like it or not, the infection rate trends are moving in the wrong direction.

"That Others May Zoom"

Eclipse

To the above end, today's maps...





For those scoring at home, you'll notice the difference between the map from just a week ago (below)

(04/11/2022)


(more yellow than orange, less red)

As of writing this, the TSA has extended the travel mask mandates at least another 15 days (was to expire 30 April), and a number of municipalities and other agencies are considering re-instituting them, with Philadelphia leading the charge.

"That Others May Zoom"

CAPCom

Quote from: Eclipse on April 16, 2022, 05:22:04 PMLet's not go political on this again.

Nothing I wrote is politically related in any way.

Eclipse

So this happened...

"As of April 2022, Covid Act Now's community level framework follows the CDC's Community Level framework. The community level framework looks at three key metrics to assess COVID across the U.S.: weekly new reported cases, weekly COVID hospital admissions, and percent of staffed inpatient beds occupied by COVID patients.

According to the CDC, this new community level framework better reflects the risk of a medically significant disease and healthcare strain. The rise of vaccines and immunity from infection has greatly reduced the risk of severe illness and death for most people, and therefore community prevention strategies and individual behaviors should be driven by an understanding of the potential strain on local hospital systems, in addition to cases."


More detail here:
https://www.covidactnow.org/covid-risk-levels-metrics

This significantly changes the map palattes and paints a picture that is probably
closer to reality, however the areas with the high risks are indicated as about the
same with the old schema.




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Spam

Eclipse, thank you for taking the time to faithfully update this thread.

V/r
Spam